When I look at the Indus basin, I am often reminded what William Shakespeare has written in the template, “What is the past, the preface.” The context in which the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) was signed was effectively set for what is happening in the present.
The Indus Waters Treaty is not a simple water-sharing agreement, such as, for example, the 1996 Ganges Treaty between India and Bangladesh. This is the division of the Indus river system. After the partition in 1947, a new geography was created, where the newly formed nation of Pakistan found itself in the lower Repairian region of most rivers, which irrigated it. For Pakistan, the question of Indus water existed. The treaty was signed in 1960 by the then Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru, Pakistan’s Field Marshal Ayub Khan and World Bank Vice President William Ilif. In India, Nehru’s leadership was very important for obtaining the treaty. In Pakistan, Ayub Khan dominated the proceedings. Many believe that Khan was not there and there was a civilian government of Pakistan, the treaty must have been held endlessly.
In the 1950s, Americans became interested in South Asia as they could see possible instability in the subcontinent between these two countries, including water. They wanted to bring into stability, but also a certain degree of American influence because they were clearly felt that India and Nehru were moving towards the then Soviet Union. And, so, you were coming to the World Bank.
On the role of World Bank
Initially, there was a lot of resentment in India about the arrival of the World Bank and allegedly determining the conditions. On the other hand, Pakistan welcomed – it still welcomes – third party participation. The role of the World Bank became almost indispensable as the basin needed a infrastructure. This required canals and link canals, all of which needed money. Therefore, the World Bank gradually became an indispensable force.
Pakistan wanted a water treaty associated with Kashmir, but Nehru was quite clear that the World Bank would not be included in the issue of Kashmir. Eventually, using the bank’s expertise and financial power, it was pushed through a mutually acceptable treaty.
On that the treaty has either benefited the country
In the context of the treaty, something is often repeated that Pakistan received 80 percent of the water, while India got only 20 percent. It was actually Ayub Khan who first began to claim credits for itself. But this is not the right way to see the treaty. The treaty was interacted by engineers. Especially the civil engineers of Punjab and Bikner, who saw the basin and thought that the best way to deal with it was to implement it between the Western and Eastern rivers.
Western rivers (Indus, Jhelum and Chenab), who visited Pakistan, have a greater amount of water than the Eastern rivers (Sutlage, Beas and Ravi). But it was not enough to determine the status of India’s dialogue. It was the control of Eastern rivers that matter more. The reason was quite simple. India had to irrigate fields in Punjab. A 15 million acre area was required to irrigate. India had determined the construction of Bhak Nangal Dam and Rajasthan Canal. So they needed control of Eastern rivers. Similarly, Pakistan also wanted to control the Eastern rivers. Western rivers were not much in the picture. Due to the difficult terrain, no one could do much on them. There was no technical affair to build a dam on them. Eventually, India maintained their interest in the eastern rivers. This is why Pakistan still complains that the treaty was inappropriate for this. India also had to give a lot, of course. India paid £ 62,060,000 to Pakistan for the construction of canals. No treaty can be good when a party achieves everything. This is a process in which you achieve something and you accept something.
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India on Pakistan’s obligations
India’s responsibilities are given a lot of attention as it is the upper ripper state. Pakistan’s responsibility was to maintain the spirit of treaty, which he has not done. It increases objections, seeks mediation and eventually delays and increases the cost of all the projects that are planned by India on Western rivers, which it deserves under the treaty. Pakistan has always portrayed itself as a victim of the aggression of an upper ripperian state to gain international sympathy. It is a playbook that is still in use.
The importance of Indus Water Treaty is being placed in Abhay
“Keeping in abensive” means cooling the normal functioning of the treaty. The Sindhu Permanent Commissioner meetings with Pakistan have been suspended from 2023. Now, day to day water data-sharing with Pakistan has also been stopped. We have been very slow in customizing the provisions of the treaty and we should do so now. India has the right to create water storage capacity up to 3.6 million acres of (MAF) on western rivers. Salal and Baglihar dams have only a capacity of 0.7 MAF. Along with the Pakaldul Dam close to completion, the storage capacity is an inch set up to 0.8 maf.
Western rivers have an estimated 20,000 MW hydroelectric capacity. India has developed only 4,000 MW. Moving forward, when India and Pakistan sit to re -organize the Treaty, India should re -work the dispute solution system. The treaty has a three-layered approach to the appointment of a neutral specialist and the International Court of Arbitration. Pakistan has long misused this process. India should emphasize that disputes are bilaterally settled, with the best neutral expert to talk about the technology of the project. In addition, more hydrological knowledge, science of climate, glacieology, science of atmospheric science, the treaty should be seen again.
Viewers questions
On whether China and Bangladesh can create difficulties for India because they share a riparon border
Bangladesh is in the lower ripper region when it comes to Brahmaputra. So China and Bangladesh cannot really meet us to push the corner together. He said, India needs what China is doing. North -East has a lot for us – which can be affected by China’s functions – storage capacity, flood mitigation and so on. There is also a diplomatic way to deal with it. We should bring water issues in China’s diplomatic main dialogue process. We should have a lot of conversation between the lower-active countries. Nepal, Bhutan, Myanmar and other Southeast Asian countries are all lower rippers which are a visual country in China. India can take an edge in this lower riparian arc to talk to China about water issues.
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Climate change effect on Indus Water Treaty
Yes, climate change is becoming an important factor to see what the Indus basin is today. When the treaty was signed, the hydrological profile of the basin was very different. The demand for population, water demand and irrigation was also quite different. Now things have changed dramatically. Changing landscapes, changing waterscape, effect of climate change and new knowledge of river flow will be important for Renaissance whenever both sides sit and talk through it.
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